Marriage Survival Predictor
Exploring the statistically significant factors behind divorce - drawn from census data, longitudinal studies, and peer-reviewed demographic research. Adjust the inputs and watch the survival curve respond in real time.
This is the baseline divorce rate for a first marriage. Adjust the inputs below to see your personalised prediction.
Marriage Survival Curve
High
57%
Year 5
79%
What the Data Says
Biggest Factor: Demographics (+2%)
This had the largest impact on your prediction. These are population-level correlations, not individual destiny.
Marriage Survival Predictor
chance of not needing a divorce attorney's number
"You might want to keep a divorce lawyer's number somewhere accessible."
Send this to your partner. We dare you.
openmatterplans.com/tools/divorce-predictor
Share your results
Screenshot or save and send to your partner
For entertainment and educational purposes. Uses real demographic research but cannot predict individual outcomes. Marriage success depends on communication, commitment, and countless personal factors no statistical model can capture. Demographic correlations reflect systemic patterns, not individual character. And no, your star sign really doesn't matter.